Trouble with statistics
For what feels like the majority of my life I have been bombarded with statistics. A set of numbers intended to inform and direct my attention. From the ever-popular 9 out of 10 doctors to the more clinical 30% of the last 43%. You know of what I speak.
But the problem is clear, just how accurate are these numbers? The more you actually look at statistics the more you come to understand just how flexible they are. The smaller the sample rate the greater the potential error, then again the demographic affects the results significantly if you are pooling. The list goes on and on. So just what value does this concept hold?
I have spent my life referring to these numbers as if they were facts or true metrics upon which I could adjust or base decisions on. When in fact they are apparently nothing but marketing tools. This frustrating realization is tantamount to finding out that the tooth fairy isn't real. Who brought me the ever-coveted coins when I left my tooth under my pillow? Now to find out my numbers are just as hypothetical.
Oh, sad day indeed. But now I find myself grown looking once again for that mythical fairy, that warm blanket of numbers. My grasping hands finding instead marketing ploys and guesses. 50 percent of all marriages fail, True? How about that new reality that more and more couples are choosing to ignore the marriage vows altogether. Was that based on the previous statistic? Was that statistic ever accurate?
The problem with statistics is that regardless of the value of the work behind them they are intended to affect our decisions. Statistics are intended to guide our thinking and motivate our choices. But just how valuable are they really. The more I study them more I find that they are just as true as my good friend the tooth fairy.
Please someone tell me I am wrong. I enjoyed my warm blanket.
Blessings!
Articles from Greg Rolfe
View blogHold it tightly just not too tightly. · "When people care deeply about the same things, when they sh ...
Finding you balance · When a child is learning to walk, they have this tug of war with gravity. · Th ...
To give thanks · Tis the season to be thankful, to remember times and events that lift our spirits. ...
Related professionals
You may be interested in these jobs
-
Registered Nurse I
Found in: Lensa US P 2 C2 - 3 days ago
UNC Medical Center Goldsboro, United StatesA Registered Nurse at Wayne UNC Health Care is a member of the patient care team who, with knowledge of the nursing process, provides leadership in applying scientific principles and professional skills aimed at caring for the ill, preventing disease Registered Nurse, Infusion, R ...
-
Senior Surgical Technician
Found in: Talent US A C2 - 1 week ago
HealthEcareers - Client San Francisco, United States Full timeJob Summary: · Under direct supervision, assists surgical team before, during, and after surgery. Provides expert support, assistance and maintenance of instruments and equipment. · Essential Responsibilities:Specifically and regularly assigned to direct, check, review, assign, o ...
-
Software Engineer, Offer Targeting Squad
Found in: beBee S2 US - 4 weeks ago
The New York Times New York City, United States Full time· The mission of The New York Times is to seek the truth and help people understand the world. That means independent journalism is at the heart of all we do as a company. It's why we have a world-renowned newsroom that sends journalists to report on the ground from nearly 160 c ...
Comments
Ken Boddie
3 years ago #18
Again, what’s with the insults, Zack? People have different opinions based on different experiences. The only thing I have to ponder is my disappointment that you have chosen to turn this into a personal attack.
Greg Rolfe
3 years ago #17
Greg Rolfe
3 years ago #16
Pascal Derrien Dude!!! Sweet!
Pascal Derrien
3 years ago #15
Zacharias 🐝 Voulgaris
3 years ago #14
So, your own experience in a very specific field trumps the meta-analysis of an independent researcher? With such a shallow understanding of generalization, no wonder you advocate the merits of this field! If Stats is so great at adding value, why is everyone shifting towards data-driven approaches to analytics, such as Machine Learning and A.I.? Something to ponder upon.
Ken Boddie
3 years ago #13
I can only assume from your comment, Zack, that you do not understand how statistic is used to good effect in civil/geotechnical engineering design. My view is based on decades of reproducible work well documented in design procedures and published texts. As it appears to differ from your viewpoint and doubtless from your experience in a different environment, please do not make the assumption that my opinion would benefit from improved accuracy.
Zacharias 🐝 Voulgaris
3 years ago #12
Ken Boddie
3 years ago #11
Ken Boddie
3 years ago #10
Ken Boddie
3 years ago #9
John Rylance
3 years ago #8
John Rylance
3 years ago #7
Zacharias 🐝 Voulgaris
3 years ago #6
It's easy to abuse what doesn't click with people. Stats manages that more than any other field, partly because of the way it is taught. It is a highly practical field, yet those who teach it approach it like any other kind of Math, focusing on the formulas and the mathy aspects of it. If someone truly understands Stats, it can be quite useful as a way to understand the data (e.g., through the distribution plots, the statistical tests, etc.). It is being abused, for sure. I wish it weren't like that...
Greg Rolfe
3 years ago #5
Zacharias 🐝 Voulgaris
3 years ago #4
Greg Rolfe
3 years ago #3
Thank you for the link Harvey Lloyd. Yes, indeed some of the Old Testament laws would put quite a kink in branding.
Harvey Lloyd
3 years ago #2
Mohammed Abdul Jawad
3 years ago #1